منابع مشابه
1 Emergent Chance
We offer a new argument for the claim that there can be non-degenerate objective chance in a deterministic world. Using a formal model of the relationship between different levels of description of a system, we show how objective chance at a higher level can coexist with its absence at a lower level. Unlike previous arguments for the level-specificity of chance, our argument shows, in a precise...
متن کاملModeling and Discovery of Emergent Chance for Decision Making
Abstract: This paper presents a modeling procedure of discovering emergent chance for decision making based on Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Grey Relational Analysis (GRA). Firstly, the influencing factors of the chances are obtained from domain experts, and then calculate the weights of these influencing factors. Secondly, we use the grey relational model to grade possible chances in de...
متن کاملGive chance a chance
How did I get to become a cell biologist? Or, more generally, why do things happen the way they do? The answer provided by the philosopher Democritus and later adopted by Jacques Monod is "everything existing in the universe is the fruit of chance and necessity." While I read Monod's book Chance and Necessity as an undergraduate student, little did I appreciate the accuracy of this citation and...
متن کاملProbability, chance and the probability of chance
In our day-to-day discourse on uncertainty, words like belief, chance, plausible, likelihood and probability are commonly encountered. Often, these words are used interchangeably, because they are intended to encapsulate some loosely articulated notions about the unknowns. The purpose of this paper is to propose a framework that is able to show how each of these terms can be made precise, so th...
متن کاملDeterministic Chance
I argue that there are non-trivial objective chances (that is, objective chances other than 0 and 1) even in deterministic worlds. The argument is straightforward. I observe that there are probabilistic special scientific laws even in deterministic worlds. These laws project nontrivial probabilities for the events that they concern. And these probabilities play the chance role and so should be ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Philosophical Review
سال: 2015
ISSN: 0031-8108,1558-1470
DOI: 10.1215/00318108-2812670